IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
UC Davis
Big West
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.9	#204
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.1	#202
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.8	#195

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.1	#235

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.3%	12.2%	7.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	14.5	15.1

.500 or above	56.1%	67.8%	41.0%
.500 or above in Conference	74.8%	80.5%	67.5%
Conference Champion	11.3%	14.3%	7.4%
Last Place in Conference	5.2%	3.3%	7.7%

First Four	2.1%	2.0%	2.3%
First Round	9.0%	11.2%	6.2%
Second Round	0.6%	0.9%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Nicholls St. (Neutral) - 56.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 3	3 - 6	3 - 8
Quad 4	11 - 6	15 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	234	Nicholls St.	W	75-73	57%
Nov 27, 2020	125	@ Santa Clara	L	72-80	22%
Nov 28, 2020	299	Idaho St.	W	76-71	68%
Dec 05, 2020	263	Portland	W	74-71	61%
Dec 08, 2020	271	@ California Baptist	W	76-75	52%
Dec 12, 2020	138	@ Pacific	L	64-71	26%
Dec 19, 2020	230	@ Sacramento St.	L	64-66	45%
Dec 27, 2020	214	@ Cal St. Bakersfield	L	67-69	42%
Dec 28, 2020	214	@ Cal St. Bakersfield	L	67-69	43%
Jan 01, 2021	208	UC Riverside	W	66-63	61%
Jan 02, 2021	208	UC Riverside	W	66-63	61%
Jan 08, 2021	119	@ UC Irvine	L	66-75	21%
Jan 09, 2021	119	@ UC Irvine	L	66-75	22%
Jan 15, 2021	298	Cal St. Fullerton	W	76-68	74%
Jan 16, 2021	298	Cal St. Fullerton	W	76-68	75%
Jan 22, 2021	232	@ UC San Diego	L	64-65	45%
Jan 23, 2021	232	@ UC San Diego	L	64-65	45%
Jan 29, 2021	141	UC Santa Barbara	L	68-69	46%
Jan 30, 2021	141	UC Santa Barbara	L	68-69	46%
Feb 05, 2021	308	@ Cal St. Northridge	W	79-76	59%
Feb 06, 2021	308	@ Cal St. Northridge	W	79-76	59%
Feb 12, 2021	228	Long Beach St.	W	78-74	64%
Feb 13, 2021	228	Long Beach St.	W	78-74	64%
Feb 26, 2021	315	@ Cal Poly	W	74-70	63%
Feb 27, 2021	315	@ Cal Poly	W	74-70	62%
Mar 05, 2021	200	Hawaii	W	73-70	59%
Mar 06, 2021	200	Hawaii	W	73-70	59%
Projected Record						14 - 13	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big West Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st												0.1	0.4	1.6	3.0	3.2	1.9		10.2	1st
2nd										0.0	0.1	1.2	3.7	4.8	3.1	1.1	0.1		14.2	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	2.1	4.5	4.5	2.2	0.3	0.0			13.9	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	2.4	5.1	4.5	1.2	0.1					13.6	4th
5th								0.4	2.6	5.4	3.7	0.8	0.0						12.9	5th
6th						0.0	0.3	2.3	4.7	2.7	0.4	0.0							10.6	6th
7th					0.0	0.3	2.2	3.5	2.1	0.3	0.0								8.5	7th
8th				0.0	0.4	1.9	2.8	1.4	0.2										6.8	8th
9th		0.0	0.1	0.8	1.6	1.7	0.8	0.2											5.2	9th
10th	0.0	0.3	0.7	1.0	0.7	0.3	0.0	0.0											3.1	10th

Total	0.0	0.3	0.8	1.8	2.8	4.3	6.2	7.9	10.0	11.0	11.4	11.1	9.9	8.7	6.4	4.4	2.1			Total

Big West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	92.9%	1.9		1.7	0.2	0.0
15-1	73.9%	3.2		2.3	0.8	0.0
14-2	46.3%	3.0		1.6	1.2	0.2	0.0
13-3	18.5%	1.6		0.4	0.8	0.4	0.0	0.0
12-4	4.1%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0		0.0
11-5	0.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.0%
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	10.2%	10.2		6.1	3.1	0.8	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	2.1%		40.7%	40.2%	0.4%	13.3										0.0		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	1.2		0.7%
15-1	4.4%		32.8%	32.6%	0.2%	14.0												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.3	0.1	2.9		0.3%
14-2	6.4%		23.8%	23.8%		14.5													0.0	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.2	4.9
13-3	8.7%		18.2%	18.2%		15.0														0.1	0.3	0.7	0.5	7.1
12-4	9.9%		11.5%	11.5%		15.3														0.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	8.8
11-5	11.1%		9.0%	9.0%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.3	0.6	10.1
10-6	11.4%		5.6%	5.6%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.5	10.8
9-7	11.0%		5.0%	5.0%		15.9																0.1	0.5	10.4
8-8	10.0%		3.2%	3.2%		16.0																0.0	0.3	9.7
7-9	7.9%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.1	7.7
6-10	6.2%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																	0.1	6.1
5-11	4.3%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	4.2
4-12	2.8%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	2.8
3-13	1.8%																							1.8
2-14	0.8%																							0.8
1-15	0.3%																							0.3
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		9.3%	9.3%	0.0%	14.9										0.0		0.0	0.2	1.0	1.8	2.8	3.5	90.7		0.0%